First up, I hope you've all heard the wonderful news and seen the new scans on Gabby's home page!
Below is my contribution (apart from the obvious) to this great, on-going process, the girthogram. The girthogram charts the growth of Gabby's girth, from the estimated conception date (~14 January) to the present time. The estimated date of birth is 22 October.
Extra, extra: as of the midwife's visit on 28 June, it has been suggested that the baby could be due up to three weeks before the previously estimated date, i.e. at the start of October.
It's a boy! What is more, as of the third midwife's visit and the third scan, the estimated date of birth is back on schedule for the 21 October...
Measurements of girth are acquired through use of a girthometer, though with a somewhat haphazard sampling interval due to conference attendence, away days, forgetfulness, etc. To date, these conferences have included MIST in Ambleside and EGS in The Hague.
An approximate estimate of girth at birth is made by extrapolating the current rate of growth as determined by a least squares fit to the last ten girth measurements. As more girth measurements are collected and the functional form of the girth curve becomes apparent, a more sophisticated curve fitting technique will be implemented.
Having said that, it has become clear that since the breakpoint in the girth curve in early March, a linear regression is a good first-order fit to the measurements. No exponential growth (luckily for Gabby!) or asymptotic approach to a final birth girth here...
Update: Its almost a week now since the estimated date of birth, and
nothing has emerged as yet. We have tried everything, including hot curries and midnight trips to the swings,
roundabouts and see-saws, but to no avail...
Felix is with us at last. He was born at 20:07 on 4 Nov 1999, weighing in at 9lb and 3.5oz (4.2 kg).
Mother and child are doing very nicely, thank you!
So, the birth is coming up soon! To increase the frisson surrounding this already charged event, we are holding a sweep-stake on the date of birth.
Estimated date of birth is 22 October, but we're running up to 5 November when the baby would be 2 weeks overdue and the birth will be induced (either at the hospital or by a loud fire-work...).
Entrance fee is 50p. Let me know if you're interested. Current ticket holders are as follows:
Some people have expressed concern regarding the taste or political correctness of this venture.
May I emphasise that no distress - emotional or physical - has been experienced by the mother-to-be during
the construction of this web-site. Thank-you.
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